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Imagine the Existence of Prediction Markets for Political Claims About

question 97

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Imagine the existence of prediction markets for political claims about the future. How might politics change?


Definitions:

Irresistible Impulse Test

Under this rule, criminal defendants are judged not guilty by reason of insanity if, at the time of the action in question, they suffered from a mental disease that either prevented them from knowing right from wrong or compelled them to commit the criminal act.

Insanity

A legal term referring to a mental dysfunction that exempts individuals from legal responsibility for their actions.

Mental Disease

A disorder or illness that affects a person's thinking, emotional state, and behavior, disrupting their ability to function.

Armed Robbery

A robbery where the perpetrator uses a weapon to threaten or cause harm, increasing the severity of the crime.

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