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Below you are given the first five values of a quarterly time series. The multiplicative model is appropriate and a four-quarter moving average will be used. An estimate of the combined trend-cycle component (T2Ct) for Quarter 3 of Year 1 (used for estimating the de-trended values) , when a four-quarter moving average is used, is
Autonomous Consumption
Spending by consumers that is not influenced by changes in current income levels, typically covering basic necessities.
Disposable Income
The pool of funds households have for saving and spending pursuits after income taxes are factored out.
Consumption
The use of goods and services by households, constituting a major part of the economy's total output.
Permanent Income Hypothesis
A theory proposed by Milton Friedman suggesting that an individual's consumer behavior is determined by their long-term income expectations rather than their current income.
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