Describe the Major Tools and Criteria for Decision Making The Probability of Rates Rising Is 0

question 21

Multiple Choice

Describe the major tools and criteria for decision making. Use the information below to answer the following question(s) . The payoff table given below lists four mortgage options: $\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|}\hline &\text { Outcome }\\\hline \text { Probability } & {\mathbf{0 . 6}} &{\mathbf{0 . 3}} &{\mathbf{0 . 1}} \\\hline \text { Decision } & \text { Rates Rise } & \text { Rates Stable } & \text { Rates Fall } \\\hline \text { 1-year ARM } & \$ 66,645 & \$ 43,650 & \$ 38,560 \\\hline \text { 3-year ARM } & \$ 62,857 & \$ 47,698 & \$ 42,726 \\\hline \text { 5-year ARM } & \$ 55,895 & \$ 50,894 & \$ 48,134 \\\hline \text { 30-year fixed } & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 \\\hline\end{array}$ The probability of rates rising is 0.6, rates stable is 0.3, and rates falling is 0.1.
-Which of the following is considered the best expected value decision?

• A) 1-year ARM
• B) 3-year ARM
• C) 5-year ARM
• D) 30-year fixed

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Definitions:

Even-Handed Explanation

An impartial and balanced description or reasoning that does not favor one side over another.

Power-Influence Research

The study of how power affects individuals and groups and how it influences behaviors and decisions.

Influence Processes

The methods and techniques used to affect the attitudes, behaviors, or perceptions of others.

Contingency Theory

Contingency theory asserts that the effectiveness of leadership or decision-making processes depends on the context or environment in which they occur, suggesting there is no one best way to manage or lead.