Describe the Major Tools and Criteria for Decision Making The Probability of Rates Rising Is 0

question 21

Multiple Choice

Describe the major tools and criteria for decision making. Use the information below to answer the following question(s) . The payoff table given below lists four mortgage options: $\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|}\hline &\text { Outcome }\\\hline \text { Probability } & {\mathbf{0 . 6}} &{\mathbf{0 . 3}} &{\mathbf{0 . 1}} \\\hline \text { Decision } & \text { Rates Rise } & \text { Rates Stable } & \text { Rates Fall } \\\hline \text { 1-year ARM } & \$ 66,645 & \$ 43,650 & \$ 38,560 \\\hline \text { 3-year ARM } & \$ 62,857 & \$ 47,698 & \$ 42,726 \\\hline \text { 5-year ARM } & \$ 55,895 & \$ 50,894 & \$ 48,134 \\\hline \text { 30-year fixed } & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 & \$ 52,276 \\\hline\end{array}$ The probability of rates rising is 0.6, rates stable is 0.3, and rates falling is 0.1.
-Which of the following is considered the best expected value decision?

• A) 1-year ARM
• B) 3-year ARM
• C) 5-year ARM
• D) 30-year fixed

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Definitions:

Tone

In linguistics, tone refers to the use of pitch in language to distinguish lexical or grammatical meaning, significant in many languages around the world.

Wampum Belts

Traditional, handcrafted belts made of beads from the shells of clams, used by indigenous peoples of North America for ceremonial purposes and as a medium of exchange.

Magic Powers

Supernatural abilities attributed to individuals or objects that allow them to perform extraordinary feats, often found in mythology and folklore.

Biologically Programmed

Innate or genetically determined characteristics or behaviors that individuals of a species are inherently inclined to follow.