Conduct Monte Carlo Simulation Using Historical Data and Resampling Techniques

question 20

Multiple Choice

Conduct Monte Carlo simulation using historical data and resampling techniques. Use the information below to answer the following question(s) .
Below is a spreadsheet for a hotel overbooking model. $\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|l|l|}\hline & \text { A } & \text { B } & \text { C } &{\text { D }} & \text { E } \\\hline 1 & \text { Hotel Overbooking Model } & & & \text { Demand } & \text { Probability } \\\hline 2 & & & & 290 & 0.03 \\\hline 3 & \text { Data } & & & 295 & 0.05 \\\hline 4 & & && 300 & 0.08 \\\hline 5 & \text { Rooms av ailable } & 350 && 305 & 0.12 \\\hline 6 & \text { Price } & \$ 120 & & 310 & 0.15 \\\hline 7 & \text { Overbooking cost } & \$ 100 && 315 & 0.20 \\\hline 8 && & & 320 & 0.15 \\\hline 9 & \text { Model } & & & 325 & 0.10 \\\hline 10 & & & & 330 & 0.05 \\\hline 11 & \text { Reserv ation limit } & 350 && 335 & 0.04 \\\hline 12 & \text { Customer demand } & 320 && 340 & 0.02 \\\hline 13 & \text { Reservations made } & & &345 & 0.01 \\\hline 14 & \text { Cancellations } & 15 \\\hline 15 & \text { Customer arrivals } & \\\hline 16 & & \\\hline 17 & \text { Overbooked customers } & \\\hline 18 & \text { Net revenue } & \\\hline\end{array}$ Assume that each reservation has a constant probability p = 0.04 of being cancelled. Answer the question(s) using the Risk Solver Platform.
-With respect to B14, what should the number of trials correspond to in the Parameters section of the Binomial dialog?

• A) reservation limit
• B) customer demand
• C) reservations made
• D) customer arrivals

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Definitions:

Checking Account Balance

The total amount of money available in a checking account at any given moment.

Confidence Interval

A range of values, derived from the sample statistics, that is likely to contain the value of an unknown population parameter.

Standard Deviation

A statistical metric that captures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean, indicating how spread out the data points are.

Internet Purchases

Buying goods or services online through websites or mobile apps.