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A Traffic Consultant Has Analysed the Factors That Affect the Number

question 69

Essay

A traffic consultant has analysed the factors that affect the number of traffic fatalities. She has come to the conclusion that two important variables are the number of cars and the number of tractor-trailer trucks. She proposed the second-order model with interaction: y=y = β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x12+β4x22+β5x1x2+ε\beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 1 } ^ { 2 } + \beta _ { 4 } x _ { 2 } ^ { 2 } + \beta _ { 5 } x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } + \varepsilon .
Where:
y = number of annual fatalities per shire. x1x _ { 1 } = number of cars registered in the shire (in units of 10 000). x2x _ { 2 } = number of trucks registered in the shire (in units of 1000).
The computer output (based on a random sample of 35 shires) is shown below.
THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y=y = 69.7+11.3x1+7.61x21.15x120.51x220.13x1x269.7 + 11.3 x _ { 1 } + 7.61 x _ { 2 } - 1.15 x _ { 1 } ^ { 2 } - 0.51 x _ { 2 } ^ { 2 } - 0.13 x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } .  Predictor  Coef  SiDev T Constant 69.741.31.688x111.35.12.216x27.612.552.984x121.150.641.797x220.510.202.55x1x20.130.101.30\begin{array} { | c | r r c | } \hline \text { Predictor } & \text { Coef } & \text { SiDev } & T \\\hline \text { Constant } & 69.7 & 41.3 & 1.688 \\x _ { 1 } & 11.3 & 5.1 & 2.216 \\x _ { 2 } & 7.61 & 2.55 & 2.984 \\x _ { 1 } ^ { 2 } & - 1.15 & 0.64 & - 1.797 \\x _ { 2 } ^ { 2 } & - 0.51 & 0.20 & - 2.55 \\x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } & - 0.13 & 0.10 & - 1.30 \\\hline\end{array} S = 15.2 R-Sq = 47.2%.
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE  Source of  Variation df SS MSF Regression 559591191.8005.181 Error 296671230.034 Total 3412630\begin{array} { | l | c c c c | } \hline \begin{array} { l } \text { Source of } \\\text { Variation }\end{array} & d f & \text { SS } & M S & F \\\hline \text { Regression } & 5 & 5959 & 1191.800 & 5.181 \\\text { Error } & 29 & 6671 & 230.034 & \\\hline \text { Total } & 34 & 12630 & & \\\hline\end{array} What is the multiple coefficient of determination? What does this statistic tell you about the model?


Definitions:

A-Delta Fiber

A type of nerve fiber that is thinly myelinated and transmits pain and temperature sensations rapidly to the central nervous system.

Skin Sense Receptors

Skin sense receptors are specialized cells in the skin that detect and respond to various stimuli such as touch, temperature, and pain.

Temperature Detection

The physiological and neural processes allowing organisms to sense and respond to changes in ambient temperature.

Vibration

An oscillation or periodic movement of particles in a medium or object.

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