Use the Table Below to Answer the Following Questions) -Calculate Cumulative Net Profit at the Fourth Year

question 42

Multiple Choice

Use the table below to answer the following questions) .
Dresden Pharmaceuticals has decided to go ahead and start clinical trials on a potential new drug. The total R&D costs are estimated to reach around $875,000,000 with clinical trials mounting to
$145,000,000. The current market size is estimated to be around 3,000,000 and is expected to grow at 4 percent every year. The market share Dresden hopes to capture in the first year is 7 percent, and is projected to grow by 25 percent each year for the next 4 years. A monthly
prescription is anticipated to generate revenue of $420 while incurring variable costs of $150. A discount rate of 8 percent is assumed. $$\begin{array} { | l | l | } \hline \text { Dresden Pharmaceuticals } & \\\hline & \\\hline \text { Data } & \\\hline & \\\hline \text { Market Size } & 3,000,000 \\\hline \text { Unit monthly Rx) revenue \$) } & 420 \\\hline \text { Unit monthly Rx) cast \$) } & 150 \\\hline \text { Discount Rate per cent) } & 8 \\\hline & \\\hline \text { Project Costs } & \\\hline \text { R\&D \$) } & 875,000,000 \\\hline \text { Clinical Trials \$) } & 145,000,000 \\\hline & \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Calculate cumulative net profit at the fourth year.

• A) $1,073,538,462
• B) $3,189,634,800
• C) $1,312,041,240
• D) $1,494,838,800

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Definitions:

Fair Bet

A gambling term where the expected return is equal to the original stake, with no advantage for the house or the bettor.

Expected Value

The calculated average of all possible values for a random variable, weighted by their respective probabilities.

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