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A Company Believes There Is a 20% Chance the File

question 4

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A company believes there is a 20% chance the file modifications will be easy, a 40% chance that they will be moderately difficult and a 40% that they will be extremely difficult.Based on old files, modifications will be extensive or minor.Suppose the probabilities are as follows: P (Minor | Easy) = 0.80, P (Minor | Moderately Difficult)
= 0) 50 and P (Minor | Extremely Difficult) = 0.20.What is the probability that the difficulty of the file modifications and transfer will be extremely difficult given that the consultant believes the modifications required are extensive?


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