Suppose There Is a 40% Chance of Rain

question 42

Short Answer

Suppose there is a 40% chance of rain tomorrow. If it rains, there is a 20% chance that all of the rides at an amusement park will be operating. If it doesn't rain, there is a 90% chance all of the rides will be operating. What is the probability that all of the rides will be operating tomorrow?

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Definitions:

Planning Phase

An initial stage in project management where objectives are set, strategies are determined, and plans are developed to achieve project goals.

Closeout Phase

The final stage of a project where activities are concluded, deliverables are formally accepted, and documentation is completed prior to project closure.

Complexity Index

A measure used to assess the complexity of a project based on various factors, including scope, technology, and stakeholder involvement.

DPCI Score

A measure used to assess the dimensions of project complexity and their impact on project success, though specific definition may vary.