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Your Textbook Gives the Following Example of Simultaneous Causality Bias

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Essay

Your textbook gives the following example of simultaneous causality bias of a two
equation system: Yi=β0+β1Xi+uiXi=γ0+γ1Yi+vi\begin{array} { c } Y _ { i } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } X _ { i } + u _ { i } \\X _ { i } = \gamma _ { 0 } + \gamma _ { 1 } Y _ { i } + v _ { i }\end{array} In microeconomics, you studied the demand and supply of goods in a single market. Let the demand (QiD)\left( Q _ { i } ^ { D } \right) and supply (QiS)\left( Q _ { i } ^ { S } \right) for the ii -th good be determined as follows,
QiD=β0β1Pi+ui,Qis=γ0+γ1Pi+vi\begin{array} { c } Q _ { i } ^ { D } = \beta _ { 0 } - \beta _ { 1 } P _ { i } + u _ { i } , \\\\Q _ { i } ^ { s } = \gamma _ { 0 } + \gamma _ { 1 } P _ { i } + v _ { i }\end{array}
where PP is the price of the good. In addition, you typically assume that the market clears.
Explain how the simultaneous causality bias applies in this situation. The textbook explained a positive correlation between XiX _ { i } and uiu _ { i } for γ1>0\gamma _ { 1 } > 0 through an argument that started from "imagine that uiu _ { i } is negative." Repeat this exercise here.


Definitions:

Market Price

The price level at which a service or asset is being offered for sale or purchase in the market now.

Ex-dividend Date

The specific date on which a stock trades without its dividend, meaning that if you purchase the stock on or after this date, you will not receive the next dividend payment.

Date Of Record

Date on which holders of record are designated to receive a dividend.

Excess Cash

The amount of cash holdings that exceeds what a business requires for its immediate operational needs.

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