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Carefully Explain the Difference Between Forecasting Variables Separately Versus Forecasting

question 38

Essay

Carefully explain the difference between forecasting variables separately versus forecasting a vector of time series variables. Mention how you choose optimal lag lengths in each case. Part of your essay should deal with multiperiod forecasts and different methods that can be used in that situation. Finally address the difference between VARS and VECM.

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Definitions:

Resistance To Change

The opposition or reluctance to modify or abandon traditional practices or to adapt to new ones.

Dramatic Increase

A significant and rapid rise in numbers, magnitude, or extent of a particular phenomenon or metric.

Kurt Lewin

is known as the father of modern social psychology, who developed theories on group dynamics and organizational development.

Force Field Analysis

A method developed by Kurt Lewin to analyze the factors that support or hinder a particular situation or desired change by identifying and evaluating driving and restraining forces.

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