Urn 1 Contains 2 Blue Tokens and 8 Red Tokens;

question 14

Short Answer

Urn 1 contains 2 blue tokens and 8 red tokens; urn 2 contains 12 blue tokens and 3 red tokens. You pick an urn at random and draw out a token at random from that urn. Given that the token is blue, what is the probability that the token came from urn 1?

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Definitions:

Inspirational Appeals

Persuasive efforts aimed at motivating others through emotional or motivational stimuli, often tapping into their values and beliefs.

Assertiveness

The quality of being self-assured and confident without being aggressive, effectively communicating one's needs and desires.

Personal Appeals

Requests or suggestions that are based on personal relationships or friendships rather than on formal authority or logic.

Exchange

The act of giving something to someone and receiving something else in return.