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As Part of a Study at a Large University, Data n=224n = 224

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Essay

As part of a study at a large university, data were collected on n=224n = 224 freshmen computer science (CS) majors in a particular year. The researchers were interested in modeling yy , a student's grade point average (GPA) after three semesters, as a function of the following independent variables (recorded at the time the students enrolled in the university):
x1=x _ { 1 } = average high school grade in mathematics (HSM)
x2=x _ { 2 } = average high school grade in science (HSS)
x3=x _ { 3 } = average high school grade in English (HSE)
x4=x _ { 4 } = SAT mathematics score (SATM)
x5=x _ { 5 } = SAT verbal score (SATV)
A first-order model was fit to the data with the following results:

 SOURCE  DF  SS  MS  F VALUE  PROB > F  MODEL 528.645.7311.69.0001 ERROR 218106.820.49 TOTAL 223135.46\begin{array}{lrrrrr}\text { SOURCE } & \text { DF } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F VALUE } & \text { PROB > F } \\\text { MODEL } & 5 & 28.64 & 5.73 & 11.69 & .0001 \\\text { ERROR } & 218 & 106.82 & 0.49 & & \\\text { TOTAL } & 223 & 135.46 & & &\end{array}


 ROOT MSE 0.700 R-SQUARE 0.211 DEP MEAN 4.635 ADJ R-SQ 0.193\begin{array}{llll}\text { ROOT MSE } & 0.700 & \text { R-SQUARE } & 0.211 \\\text { DEP MEAN } & 4.635 & \text { ADJ R-SQ } & 0.193\end{array}
 PARAMETER  STANDARD  T FOR 0:  VARIABLE  ESTIMATE  ERROR  PARAMETER = 0  PROB > |T|  INTERCEPT 2.3270.0395.8170.0001 X1 (HSM) 0.1460.0373.7180.0003 X2 (HSS) 0.0360.0380.9500.3432 X3 (HSE) 0.0550.0401.3970.1637 X4 (SATM) 0.000940.000681.3760.1702 X5 (SATV) 0.000410.00590.6890.4915 Test to determine if the model is adequate for predicting GPA. Use α=.01\begin{array}{l}\begin{array} { l r r r r } & \text { PARAMETER } & \text { STANDARD } & \text { T FOR 0: } & \\\text { VARIABLE } & \text { ESTIMATE } & \text { ERROR } & \text { PARAMETER = 0 } & \text { PROB > |T| } \\\text { INTERCEPT } & 2.327 & 0.039 & 5.817 & 0.0001 \\\text { X1 (HSM) } & 0.146 & 0.037 & 3.718 & 0.0003 \\\text { X2 (HSS) } & 0.036 & 0.038 & 0.950 & 0.3432 \\\text { X3 (HSE) } & 0.055 & 0.040 & 1.397 & 0.1637 \\\text { X4 (SATM) } & 0.00094 & 0.00068 & 1.376 & 0.1702 \\\text { X5 (SATV) } & - 0.00041 & 0.0059 & - 0.689 & 0.4915 \\\hline\end{array}\\\text { Test to determine if the model is adequate for predicting GPA. Use } \alpha = .01 \text {. }\end{array}


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