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SCENARIO 17-5
You Worked as an Intern at We Always

question 110

True/False

SCENARIO 17-5
You worked as an intern at We Always Win Car Insurance Company last summer. You notice that
individual car insurance premiums depend very much on the age of the individual, the number of
traffic tickets received by the individual, and the population density of the city in which the individual
lives. You performed a regression analysis in EXCEL and obtained the following information:  Regression Statistics  Multiple R 0.63 R Square 0.40 Adjusted R Square 0.23 Standard Error 50.00 Observations 15.00 ANOVA df SS  MS  F  Significance F Regression 35994.242.400.12 Residual 1127496.82 Total 45479.54 Coefficients  Standard  Error  t Stat  P-value  Lower 99.0%  Upper 99.0%  Intercept 123.8048.712.540.0327.47275.07 AGE 0.820.870.950.363.511.87 TICKETS 21.2510.661.990.0711.8654.37 DENSITY 3.146.460.490.6423.1916.91\begin{array}{l}\begin{array}{lr}\hline {\text { Regression Statistics }} \\\hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.63 \\\text { R Square } & 0.40 \\\text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.23 \\\text { Standard Error } & 50.00 \\\text { Observations } & 15.00 \\\hline\end{array}\\\\\text { ANOVA }\\\begin{array}{lrcccr}\hline & d f &{\text { SS }} & \text { MS } & \text { F }&{\text { Significance } F} \\\hline \text { Regression } & 3 & & 5994.24 & 2.40 & 0.12 \\\text { Residual } & 11 & 27496.82 & & & \\\text { Total } & & 45479.54 & & & \\\hline\end{array}\\\\\begin{array}{lrrrrrr}\hline & \text { Coefficients } & \begin{array}{c}\text { Standard } \\\text { Error }\end{array} & \text { t Stat } & \text { P-value } & \text { Lower 99.0\% } & \text { Upper 99.0\% } \\\hline \text { Intercept } & 123.80 & 48.71 & 2.54 & 0.03 & -27.47 & 275.07 \\\text { AGE } & -0.82 & 0.87 & -0.95 & 0.36 & -3.51 & 1.87 \\\text { TICKETS } & 21.25 & 10.66 & 1.99 & 0.07 & -11.86 & 54.37 \\\text { DENSITY } & -3.14 & 6.46 & -0.49 & 0.64 & -23.19 & 16.91 \\\hline\end{array}\end{array}
AGE -0.82 0.87 -0.95 0.36 -3.51 1.87
TICKETS 21.25 10.66 1.99 0.07 -11.86 54.37
DENSITY -3.14 6.46 -0.49 0.64 -23.19 16.91
-Referring to Scenario 17-5, to test the significance of the multiple regression
model, the null hypothesis should be rejected while allowing for 1% probability of committing a
type I error.


Definitions:

Demographic Data

Statistical data relating to the population and particular groups within it, such as age, race, gender, and income.

World Population

The total number of living humans on Earth at a given time.

Projected Population

An estimate of future population size based on current data and trends.

Total Fertility

The average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if she were to experience the exact current age-specific fertility rates throughout her childbearing years.

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