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SCENARIO 16-15-B
You Are the CEO of a Diary Company

question 219

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SCENARIO 16-15-B
You are the CEO of a diary company. The total milk production (in gallons) from your company
over the past 30 years are presented below and also contained in the Excel file SCENARIO 16-
15-B.XLSX.  Year 198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015 Milk 150201193718212520214553237507248069241824234627252049252029 Prod 263449260689247900260059268197249477246216265236256364241705245932243529241551247697248454241974235823243517238490248606\begin{array} { l r r r r r r r r r r r } \text { Year } & 1986 & 1987 & 1988 & 1989 & 1990 & 1991 & 1992 & 1993 & 1994 & 1995 \\& 1996 & 1997 & 1998 & 1999 & 2000 & 2001 & 2002 & 2003 & 2004 & 2005 \\& 2006 & 2007 & 2008 & 2009 & 2010 & 2011 & 2012 & 2013 & 2014 & 2015 \\\text { Milk } & 150201 & 193718 & 212520 & 214553 & 237507 & 248069 & 241824 & 234627 & 252049 & 252029 \\\text { Prod } & & & & & & & & & \\& 263449 & 260689 & 247900 & 260059 & 268197 & 249477 & 246216 & 265236 & 256364 & 241705 \\& 245932 & 243529 & 241551 & 247697 & 248454 & 241974 & 235823 & 243517 & 238490 & 248606\end{array} You want to predict your company's future total milk production using the linear trend, quadratic
trend, exponential trend, first-order autoregressive, second-order autoregressive and third-order
autoregressive model.
-Referring to Scenario 16-15-B, you can conclude that the third-order
autoregressive model is appropriate at the 5% level of significance.

Grasp the historical impact of the Industrial Revolution on business practices and society.
Differentiate between for-profit and not-for-profit organizations and their operational priorities.
Discern the importance and methods of competitive differentiation within industries.
Understand the relationship between technology and capital and their roles as factors of production.

Definitions:

Products

Items or services offered for sale, including physical goods, digital items, and services.

POP

Point of Purchase, referring to the location and timing where a retail transaction is completed.

Sales Promotions

Marketing activities that aim to boost sales and attract customers by offering limited-time incentives.

Trade Advertising

Advertising undertaken by the manufacturer and directed toward the wholesaler or retailer.

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