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SCENARIO 13-14-A
You Are the CEO of a Dairy Company

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SCENARIO 13-14-A
You are the CEO of a dairy company. You are planning to expand production by purchasing
additional cows, lands and hiring more workers. From the existing 50 farms owned by the company,
you have collected data on total milk production (in liters) and the number of milking cows. The data
are shown below and also available in the Excel file Scenario13-14-DataA.XLSX.  MILK 84729101969103314705747614486695876001052721204226874985541919101104651253691594701029301132141333281400861455141525891283041380931613682081362242052310901222041323111551541772681964492053248956294840949979762510222610383223967323986124129824919629445531887166483100459103847154141155516 COWS 1824221921192219241820252627292425282628272124273332322225262929282521232428253940403942471920212531\begin{array} { l r r r r r r r r r r } \text { MILK } & 84729 & 101969 & 103314 & 70574 & 76144 & 86695 & 87600 & 105272 & 120422 & 68749 \\& 85541 & 91910 & 110465 & 125369 & 159470 & 102930 & 113214 & 133328 & 140086 & 145514 \\& 152589 & 128304 & 138093 & 161368 & 208136 & 224205 & 231090 & 122204 & 132311 & 155154 \\& 177268 & 196449 & 205324 & 89562 & 94840 & 94997 & 97625 & 102226 & 103832 & 239673 \\& 239861 & 241298 & 249196 & 294455 & 318871 & 66483 & 100459 & 103847 & 154141 & 155516 \\\text { COWS } & 18 & 24 & 22 & 19 & 21 & 19 & 22 & 19 & 24 & 18 \\& 20 & 25 & 26 & 27 & 29 & 24 & 25 & 28 & 26 & 28 \\& 27 & 21 & 24 & 27 & 33 & 32 & 32 & 22 & 25 & 26 \\& 29 & 29 & 28 & 25 & 21 & 23 & 24 & 28 & 25 & 39 \\& 40 & 40 & 39 & 42 & 47 & 19 & 20 & 21 & 25 & 31\end{array} You believe that the number of milking cows is the best predictor for total milk production on any
given farm.
-Referring to Scenario 13-14-A, if you purchase 40 cows for the new farm, the lower and upper
limit of the 95% prediction interval for the total milk production are _____ liters and _____ liters,
respectively.

Understand the impact of flexibility in global supply chains against risks and uncertainties.
Recognize the importance of integrating strategic and financial planning in supply chain network design.
Analyze the cost-benefit aspects of offshoring including labor, capital, and freight cost implications.
Comprehend the complexity of decision trees in supply chain decision-making.

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