SCENARIO 5-4
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 8

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-4
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | r | c | r | r | } \hline { \text { Probability } } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-4, what is your expected profit when Design B is chosen?

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Definitions:

Shipping Term

Refers to agreed terms between a seller and buyer that outline the details about the delivery of goods, including who is responsible for shipping costs and risk of damage.

Negotiable Document

A written instrument, such as a bill of exchange, promissory note, or check, that guarantees payment of a specific amount of money and is transferable among different parties.

Goods-in-bailment

Items that are temporarily delivered to someone (the bailee) for custody or storage, without transfer of ownership.

Deliver to Order

A stipulation in shipping where goods are delivered to a specific party as per the instructions of the shipping document or bill of lading.