SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 374

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-12 if you decide to choose Design A for 90% of the production lines and
Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the risk of your investment?

---

Definitions:

Instrumental Functions

Tasks and activities aimed at achieving a specific goal or purpose, often related to practical and material aspects of life.

Gun

A weapon incorporating a metal tube from which bullets, shells, or other missiles are propelled by explosive force.

Subtle Method

A technique or approach that is delicately complex and not immediately obvious or overt.

Property Crime

Crimes that involve the taking of property without force or threat of force against the victim.