SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 223

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-12, if you decide to choose Design A for half of the production lines and
Design B for the other half, what is the risk of your investment?

Recognize the factors determining the technological progressiveness of an industry, including industry concentration and the availability of technological opportunities.

Understand the relationship between marginal cost and R&D expenditures in firms.

Comprehend the role of government in financing basic scientific research and its implications on public goods and externalities.

Identify the optimal level of R&D expenditure for firms based on marginal cost and benefit analysis.

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Definitions:

Future Value

The estimated amount of money an investment will grow to over a specified period of time, based on a projected rate of interest or growth rate.

Annuity

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Present Value

The current value of a future sum of money or stream of cash flows given a specified rate of return, used in discounted cash flow analysis.

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