SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 11

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-12, if you decide to choose Design A for 30% of the production lines and
Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the risk of your investment?

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