SCENARIO 5-12
Two Different Designs on a New Line of Winter

question 374

Short Answer

SCENARIO 5-12
Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your
manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers
when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the
corresponding profits are presented in the following table. $$\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Scenario 5-12 if you decide to choose Design A for 90% of the production lines and
Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the risk of your investment?

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Definitions:

Cooperative

An organization formed by individuals to market new products. Individuals in a cooperative pool their resources together to gain an advantage in the market.

Shareholder

An investor who holds stock in a corporation, and thus is an owner of the corporation.

Leasehold Estates

Leasehold estates represent a tenant's right to occupy or use real property for a specific period of time, as defined by a lease agreement.

Possessory Interest

A legal right to occupy or control property, irrespective of ownership.