Suppose That in an Election for Governor of Oregon There $\frac { \mathrm { f } } { \mathrm { N } }$

question 103

Essay

Suppose that in an election for governor of Oregon there are five candidates of whom two are women. A statistics student reasons as follows. The probability that a woman will win the election is equal to $\frac { \mathrm { f } } { \mathrm { N } }$ which is $\frac { 2 } { 5 }$ . What is wrong with his reasoning?