Estimate the Probability of the Event

question 17

Multiple Choice

Estimate the probability of the event
-A polling firm, hired to estimate the likelihood of the passage of an up-coming referendum, obtained the set of survey responses to make its estimate. The encoding system for the data is: 0 = FOR, 1 = AGAINST. If the referendum were held today, estimate the probability that it would pass. 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0

• A)0.65
• B)0.6
• C)0.4
• D)0.5

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Definitions:

Marriage

A legally and socially sanctioned union, typically between two people, that is regulated by laws, rules, customs, beliefs, and attitudes that prescribe the rights and duties of the partners.

Neuroticism

A characteristic of personality defined by feelings of gloom, temperamental nature, and erratic emotions.

Extroversion

A personality trait characterized by orientation towards the external world, sociability, and a tendency to seek stimulation in the company of others.

Remarriages

The act of marrying again after a divorce or the death of a spouse, often involving unique dynamics and challenges compared to first marriages.