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Estimate the Probability of the Event

question 17

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Estimate the probability of the event
-A polling firm, hired to estimate the likelihood of the passage of an up-coming referendum, obtained the set of survey responses to make its estimate. The encoding system for the data is: 0 = FOR, 1 = AGAINST. If the referendum were held today, estimate the probability that it would pass. 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0

Examine the mechanisms through which social situations can reduce self-awareness and inhibit or encourage certain behaviors.
Understand the reasons behind and responses to the Vietnam War, both domestically within Vietnam and internationally.
Analyze the political and social consequences of the Vietnam War in the United States, including public opinion and policy changes.
Recognize the impact of iconic figures and events related to the Vietnam War on historical narratives and contemporary perceptions.

Definitions:

Tentative Explanation

An initial, provisional theory or hypothesis intended to account for certain observations, subject to further investigation and confirmation.

Scientific Theory

A well-substantiated explanation of some aspect of the natural world, based on a body of facts that have been repeatedly confirmed through observation and experiment.

Statistical Validation

The process of evaluating the correctness and reliability of a statistical model or measurement through rigorous testing and analysis.

Critical Thinking

The goal of critically examining and assessing a matter to come to a decision.

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