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The URS Construction Company Has Submitted Two Bids, One to Build

question 52

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The URS construction company has submitted two bids, one to build a large hotel in London and the other to build a commercial office building in New York City. The company believes it has a 40% chance of winning the hotel bid and a 25% chance of winning the office building bid. The company also believes that winning the hotel bid is independent of winning the office building bid. What is the probability the company will lose both contracts?


Definitions:

Pluralistic Ignorance

A situation where a majority of group members privately reject a norm, but incorrectly assume that most others accept it, leading to a disconnect between beliefs and behaviors.

Social Responsibility Norm

A societal rule that people should help those who need assistance, without regard to future exchanges.

Dispositional Attributions

The tendency to attribute someone's behavior to their internal qualities or personality traits rather than to external factors.

Situational Attributions

The process of attributing behavior to external factors in the environment or situation, rather than to internal personality traits.

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