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Urn 1 contains 2 blue tokens and 8 red tokens; urn 2 contains 12 blue tokens and 3 red tokens. You roll a die to determine which urn to choose: if you roll a 1 or 2 you choose urn 1; if you roll a 3, 4, 5, or 6 you choose urn 2. Once the urn is chosen, you draw out a token at random from that urn. Given that the token is blue, what is the probability that the token came from urn 1?
GDP
Gross Domestic Product, the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a specific time period.
Natural Rate
The natural rate typically signifies the unemployment rate that maintains a steady inflation rate over time, also known as the natural rate of unemployment.
Short-run Ups
Temporary or brief increases in economic indicators or market performance.
Standard of Living
The level of wealth, comfort, material goods, and necessities available to a person, group, or nation.
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