If Asked, "Which Is More Probable? A

question 110

Multiple Choice

If asked, "Which is more probable? A.Professional golfer Adam Scott will not be in the lead after the first round of golf at the tournament but will win the tournament.B.Professional golfer Adam Scott will not be in the lead after the first round of golf of a tournament." Most people would answer A, although A is less likely to be true than B.According to Tversky and Kahneman, such faulty conclusions are based on

• A) the representativeness heuristic.
• B) convergent thinking.
• C) divergent thinking.
• D) the framing effect.