The Fallacy of Positive Instances Refers to The

question 556

Multiple Choice

The fallacy of positive instances refers to the:

• A) ability to predict the future.
• B) tendency to misjudge the probability of an event occurring simply by chance.
• C) tendency to seek the simplest possible explanation for an unusual event.
• D) tendency to remember events that seem to confirm our beliefs and forget the events that contradict our beliefs.

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Definitions:

Probability

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

Random Phenomenon

An event or a process that cannot be predicted with certainty due to the random nature of its outcomes.

Independent

Pertaining to variables or events that are not influenced by other variables in the context of statistical analysis.

Dependent

Refers to a variable in a psychological experiment that is expected to change as a result of manipulations in the independent variable.