What Type of Probability Distribution Will Most Likely Be Used

question 213

Multiple Choice

What type of probability distribution will most likely be used to analyze warranty repair needs on new cars in the following problem? The service manager for a new automobile dealership reviewed dealership records of the past 20 sales of new cars to determine the number of warranty repairs he will be called on to perform in the next 90 days. Corporate reports indicate that the probability any one of their new cars needs a warranty repair in the first 90 days is 0.05. The manager assumes that calls for warranty repair are independent of one another and is interested in predicting the number of warranty repairs he will be called on to perform in the next 90 days for this batch of 20 new cars sold.

• A) Binomial distribution
• B) Poisson distribution
• C) Hypergeometric distribution
• D) None of the above.

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Definitions:

Perfect Information

A situation in which all participants have full and equal knowledge of all relevant factors affecting decisions.

EMV

Expected Monetary Value, a decision-making tool used in risk management to calculate the average outcome when the future includes scenarios that may or may not happen.

Medium Potential

A term indicating a moderate level of capacity or ability to achieve or develop something in the future.

Opportunity Losses

The losses incurred by not choosing the best alternative financial option, often considered in decision-making processes to evaluate different investment or business strategies.