TABLE 16-12 A Local Store Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model to Forecast

question 126

Multiple Choice

TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 2005 to 2009. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log₁₀ = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q₁ - 0.054 Q₂ + 0.098 Q₃
where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter.
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2005.
Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Table 16-12, the estimated quarterly compound growth rate in revenues is around

• A) 1.2%.
• B) 2.8%.
• C) 12%.
• D) 28%.

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Definitions:

Without Recourse

A term indicating that the seller of a financial instrument relinquishes the right to demand payment from the buyer in case of non-payment.

Indorser's Liability

The responsibility assumed by an endorser (or indorser) when they sign a negotiable instrument, making them liable if the instrument is not honored.

Nonnegotiable

Pertaining to an item or document that cannot be transferred or assigned to another party in exchange for money or goods.

Assignment

The transfer of rights, property, or obligations from one party to another, often used in contexts such as contracts, leases, and insurance policies.