On a Series of Coin Tosses, Oleg Has Correctly Predicted

question 176

Multiple Choice

On a series of coin tosses, Oleg has correctly predicted heads or tails seven times in a row. In this instance, we can reasonably conclude that Oleg's predictive accuracy

• A) defies the laws of statistical probability.
• B) illustrates the phenomenon of hindsight bias.
• C) is inconsistent with the placebo effect.
• D) is a random and coincidental occurrence.

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Definitions:

TOT States

"Tip of the Tongue" states, a phenomenon where a person cannot recall a specific word or term, though it feels within reach.

Sign Language

A visual language that uses hand shapes, facial expressions, and body movements to convey meaning, primarily used by deaf and hard-of-hearing individuals.

Relearning Method

A method for measuring retention that compares the time required to relearn material with the time used in the initial learning of the material.

Hermann Ebbinghaus

A German psychologist known for his pioneering work in the study of memory, including the forgetting curve and the spacing effect.