Jordan Had a Dream That Later Seemed to Come True

question 24

Multiple Choice

Jordan had a dream that later seemed to come true. Jordan concluded that the dream accurately predicted the later event, and he wondered if this was some kind of psychic ability that had been manifested. The MOST plausible alternative explanation for this situation is that Jordan:

• A) underestimated the rate of coincidental events.
• B) showed the gambler's fallacy.
• C) exhibited the conjunction fallacy.
• D) inappropriately reasoned from representativeness.

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Definitions:

Oranges

A type of citrus fruit known for its round shape, orange color, and juicy, slightly acidic taste, commonly used for eating fresh or in beverages.

Nonlinear

Describes a relationship or equation that does not form a straight line when graphed, indicating a proportionality that changes with varying values.

Moderate

A term indicating a middle or average degree of intensity, quality, or quantity.

Circumference

The linear distance around the edge of a circle or circular object.