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TABLE 16-12 A Local Store Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model to Forecast

question 18

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TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 2005 to 2009. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log₁₀ TABLE 16-12 A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 2005 to 2009. The following is the resulting regression equation: log₁₀   = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q₁ - 0.054 Q₂ + 0.098 Q₃ where   is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter. X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2005. Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. -Referring to Table 16-12, to obtain a forecast for the first quarter of 2009 using the model, which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation? A)  X = 16, Q₁ = 1, Q₂ = 0, Q₃ = 0 B)  X = 16, Q₁ = 0, Q₂ = 1, Q₃ = 0 C)  X = 17, Q₁ = 1, Q₂ = 0, Q₃ = 0 D)  X = 17, Q₁ = 0, Q₂ = 1, Q₃ = 0 = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q₁ - 0.054 Q₂ + 0.098 Q₃
where TABLE 16-12 A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 2005 to 2009. The following is the resulting regression equation: log₁₀   = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q₁ - 0.054 Q₂ + 0.098 Q₃ where   is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter. X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2005. Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. -Referring to Table 16-12, to obtain a forecast for the first quarter of 2009 using the model, which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation? A)  X = 16, Q₁ = 1, Q₂ = 0, Q₃ = 0 B)  X = 16, Q₁ = 0, Q₂ = 1, Q₃ = 0 C)  X = 17, Q₁ = 1, Q₂ = 0, Q₃ = 0 D)  X = 17, Q₁ = 0, Q₂ = 1, Q₃ = 0 is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter.
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2005.
Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Table 16-12, to obtain a forecast for the first quarter of 2009 using the model, which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation?

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