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TABLE 16-14 a Contractor Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model to Forecast the Forecast

question 56

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TABLE 16-14
A contractor developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast the number of contracts in future quarters, using quarterly data on number of contracts during the 3-year period from 2008 to 2010. The following is the resulting regression equation:
ln Ŷ = 3.37 + 0.117 X - 0.083 Q₁ + 1.28 Q₂ + 0.617 Q₃
where Ŷ is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008.
Q₁ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₂ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q₃ is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Table 16-14, the best interpretation of the constant 3.37 in the regression equation is

Recognize the influence of peer groups and role models on individual attitudes and behaviors.
Explain the relationship between attitudes, values, and behaviors.
Understand how personal experiences and cultural background influence attitudes and behaviors.
Identify the role of feedback and reinforcement in attitude formation and change.

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