John Is Trying to Decide Whether to Expand His Business

question 88

Multiple Choice

John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not. If he continues his business as it is, with no expansion, there is a 50 percent chance his revenue will be $100,000 and a 50 percent chance his revenue will be $300,000. If he does expand, it will cost him $150,000, and there is a 30 percent chance his revenue will be $100,000; a 30 percent chance his revenue will be $300,000; and a 40 percent chance his revenue will be $500,000.What is the expected value of John's revenue if he chooses not to expand?

• A)$400,000
• B)$200,000
• C)$250,000
• D)$225,000

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Definitions:

Contingency Reserves

Funds or resources set aside to cover unexpected costs or risks in a project or budget.

Management Reserves

Funds set aside in a project budget by management for unforeseen work or risks, not part of the baseline budget but available for use as needed.

Cost Variance

The difference between the budgeted cost of work performed and the actual cost of work performed on a project.

Estimate To Complete

A financial analysis projecting the cost required to finish a project based on its current status and past performance.