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John Is Trying to Decide Whether to Expand His Business

question 83

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John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not. If he continues his business as it is, with no expansion, there is a 50 percent chance his revenue will be $100,000 and a 50 percent chance his revenue will be $300,000. If he does expand, it will cost him $150,000, and there is a 30 percent chance his revenue will be $100,000; a 30 percent chance his revenue will be $300,000; and a 40 percent chance his revenue will be $500,000.If John decides to expand based on expected value, it means that:


Definitions:

Corn Crop

The cultivated plant of the genus Zea that yields the grain corn, a staple food in many parts of the world, used for human consumption, animal feed, and for industrial purposes.

Oil Price

The cost per barrel of crude oil, which fluctuates based on global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical stability, and other factors.

Gasoline

A flammable liquid derived from petroleum, used primarily as fuel in internal combustion engines.

Lumber Price

The cost per unit volume of wood, a key commodity in construction and manufacturing.

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