Use the Information Below to Answer the Following Question(s)

question 29

Multiple Choice

Use the information below to answer the following question(s) .
Below is a decision tree illustrating the R&D process for a new drug.

Let us assume that if the market is large, the payoff is lognormally distributed with a mean of $ 4,900 million and a standard deviation of $ 1,000 million; if the market is medium, the payoff is lognormally distributed with a mean of $2,500 million and a standard deviation of $500 million; and if the market is small, the payoff is normally distributed with a mean of $1,800 million and standard deviation of $200 million.

-What is the mean absolute deviation obtained from the simulation results? [Hint: Choose the approximate value.]

• A)$ 119.0
• B)$ 116.1
• C)$ 105.7
• D)$ 94.4

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Definitions:

Annuity

A financial product that pays out a fixed stream of payments to an individual, primarily used as an income stream for retirees.

Interest

The charge for borrowing money or the return on investment for lending money, typically expressed as a annual percentage rate.

Investments

Funds committed into ventures with the expectation of earning a return or profit.

Withdraw

To withdraw means to take out funds from an account, remove participation in an activity, or retract from a position or commitment.