At Stage 2 of the Decision Tree It Shows That

question 4

Multiple Choice

At stage 2 of the decision tree it shows that if a project is successful the payoff will be $53,000 with a 2/3 chance of occurrence. There is also the 1/3 chance of a -$24,000 payoff. The cost of getting to stage 2 (1 year out) is $44,000. The cost of capital is 15%. What is the NPV of the project at stage 1?

• A) -$13,275
• B) -$20,232
• C) $2,087
• D) $7,536

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Definitions:

Correlation

A statistical measure that indicates the extent to which two or more variables fluctuate together.

Correlation Coefficients

Statistical measures that quantify the degree to which two variables are related or move together, ranging from -1 to +1.

Correlation Coefficient

A numerical indicator that shows the degree to which two or more variables move in conjunction with each other.

Negative Correlation

A relationship between two variables where one variable increases as the other decreases, indicating an inverse relationship.