You Ask Several of Your Friends to Rate the Likelihood

question 230

Multiple Choice

You ask several of your friends to rate the likelihood of the following statements: (1) There will be a flood in British Columbia, (2) There will be an earthquake in British Columbia that causes a flood. Almost all of your friends rate statement (2) as more likely. These likelihood estimates are _____________ and illustrate the use of _____________.

• A)correct; inductive reasoning
• B)incorrect; the representativeness heuristic
• C)correct; the availability heuristic
• D)incorrect; a confirmation bias

---

Definitions:

Compliment

An expression of praise, commendation, or admiration.

Maintenance Skills

These are the abilities required to repair, care for, and keep machinery, buildings, or equipment in good condition.

Affect

To make a difference to or have an influence on something or someone.

Passenger Service

A range of services provided to individuals traveling or commuting, usually by means of public or private transportation.