The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

question 189

Multiple Choice

The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. (Due to budgeting constraints, only one new picture can be undertaken at this time.) She feels that script 1 has a 70 percent chance of earning about $10,000,000 over the long run, but a 30 percent chance of losing $2,000,000. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80 percent chance of earning $5,000,000, but a 20 percent chance of losing $1,000,000. On the other hand, she feels that script 2 has a 60 percent chance of earning $12,000,000, but a 40 percent chance of losing $3,000,000. If successful, its sequel would have a 50 percent chance of earning $8,000,000, but a 50 percent chance of losing $4,000,000. Of course, in either case, if the original movie were a flop, then no sequel would be produced.
What is the probability that script 1 will be a success, but its sequel will not?

• A)0.8
• B)0.7
• C)0.56
• D)0.2
• E)0.14

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Definitions:

Credit Side

The right side of an accounting ledger where increases in liabilities, equity, and revenue, or the decrease in assets, are recorded.

T Account

A visual representation of a ledger account that displays both the debit and credit sides to track the balance of financial transactions.

Chronological Order

Organizing events or actions by the order in which they occurred in time.

Error Location

The process or act of identifying the specific spot within a data set, document, or system where a mistake or discrepancy has occurred.