Which of the Following Applies to the Problem of Overconfidence

question 15

Multiple Choice

Which of the following applies to the problem of overconfidence in personal probability assessment?

• A)Research shows that the more confident people are that they are right, the more the true proportion of correct answers falls below the perceived probability of being right.
• B)One way to help eliminate overconfidence is to get people to consider reasons why they might be wrong.
• C)When people venture a guess about something for which they are uncertain, they tend to overestimate the probability that they are correct.
• D)All of the above.