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Has M2 Always Been a Useful Tool for Forecasting Inflation

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Has M2 always been a useful tool for forecasting inflation? Explain.


Definitions:

Deficit Principle

A principle that suggests that once a relatively satisfied need is no longer met, it will re-emerge and become the dominant motivator of behavior.

Motivator

Anything that stimulates interest or action, especially in terms of encouraging people to achieve goals or improve performance.

Higher-order Needs

Advanced human needs in Maslow's hierarchy, including esteem and self-actualization, beyond basic physiological and safety requirements.

Esteem

A respect and admiration, typically for a person, that results from their achievements or qualities.

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