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Cysts After Researching Cysts of a Particular Type, a Doctor

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Cysts After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient. {Cysts Narrative} In the absence of any test, what is the probability that the cyst is malignant?


Definitions:

Laboriously

In a manner that requires considerable effort and hard work.

Babbling

The child’s first vocalizations that have the sounds of speech.

Consonants

Speech sounds produced by obstructing airflow in the vocal tract, playing a critical role in the phonetic and phonological aspects of language.

Visual Recognition

Visual recognition is the process by which the brain identifies and interprets what the eyes see, such as recognizing faces, objects, and symbols.

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