When Do Most Hurricanes Develop (Which Months), and Why

question 38

Multiple Choice

When do most hurricanes develop (which months) , and why?

• A)July, because that is the hottest month and rainfall is highest in the tropics
• B)July, because winds are the highest over the normally stagnant doldrums of the equatorial ocean
• C)July and August, because those are the hottest months
• D)August and September, because it takes all summer to warm the ocean
• E)November and December, because it takes all year to warm the ocean

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Definitions:

Calibration Curve

A plot of accuracy against confidence judgments. The more the curve approaches a 45-degree line, the better the “calibration” or “fit” between accuracy and confidence.

Participants' Confidence

The level of belief individuals participating in an experiment or study have in their responses or judgments.

Deductive Reasoning

A logical process where a conclusion is based on the concordance of multiple premises that are generally assumed to be true.

Underconfidence

A cognitive bias in which individuals underestimate their knowledge, abilities, or performance.