Suppose That a Coin Is Flipped 20 Times

question 46

Multiple Choice

Suppose that a coin is flipped 20 times. The first 19 flips are all heads. Is the last flip more likely to be heads, more likely to be tails, or equally likely to be heads or tails? When people engage in the gambler's fallacy, they ____.

• A) say that the last flip is more likely to be heads
• B) say that the last flip is more likely to be tails
• C) say that the last flip is more likely to be heads OR say that the last flip is more likely to be tails
• D) say that the last flip is equally likely to be heads or tails

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Definitions:

Unconsciously

Performing actions or behavior without conscious awareness or intention, often based on learned patterns or instincts.

Unacceptable Goal

A target or objective deemed inappropriate or unattainable within a given context or set of circumstances.

Acceptable

Considered satisfactory or permissible in quality, standard, or condition.

Justifying

The action of showing or proving to be right or reasonable, often used in the context of arguments or decisions.