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Tim is giving a speech about local crime. He says, "An elderly couple was robbed within city limits last week. Imagine a city where you can't leave your door unlocked, even for a second! It's as though the prison doors have been open, and all the criminals are free to do as they please in our town. This is not meant to scare you, but crime has gone up fifty percent since last year! This is all according to the latest bulletin published by city-data.com." What style of support does he use?
Chance
The occurrence of events in the absence of any cause or pattern, often described in terms of probability.
Likelihood
In statistics, the probability of a set of parameters given a specific outcome; used in maximum likelihood estimation.
Subjective Probability
An individual's personal and subjective assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring, based on their own knowledge and judgment rather than on statistical analysis.
Personal Judgment
Personal Judgment involves making decisions or forming opinions based on individual assessment and intuition, rather than solely on data.
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