Use This Information to Answer the Following Questions -Refer to the Table Above

question 20

Essay

Use this information to answer the following questions.
The following time series represent the total population of the United States,in thousands,over the last 12 years.
$$\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Population (in 000s) } \\\hline 1991 & 253,493 \\\hline 1992 & 256,894 \\\hline 1993 & 260,255 \\\hline 1994 & 263,436 \\\hline 1995 & 266,557 \\\hline 1996 & 269,667 \\\hline 1997 & 272,912 \\\hline 1998 & 276,115 \\\hline 1999 & 279,295 \\\hline 2000 & 282,434 \\\hline 2001 & 285,545 \\\hline 2002 & 288,600 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Refer to the table above.
a.Use a 2-period moving average to forecast the population of the United States in 2003.
b.Use a 3-period moving average to forecast the population of the United States in 2003.
c.Which averaging period provides a better historical fit based on the MAD criterion?

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Definitions:

Actualized

The process of realizing and expressing one's capabilities and creativities to their fullest extent.

Actualization

The process of realizing or achieving one's full potential or self-fulfillment, often associated with Maslow's hierarchy of needs.

Unconscious

The segment of the psyche which remains beyond the reach of conscious awareness, yet influences actions and feelings.

Conditional Positive Regard

A concept suggesting that acceptance and love from others are contingent upon one's behavior meeting certain conditions or standards.