Use This Information to Answer the Following Questions -Refer to the Table Above

question 45

Essay

Use this information to answer the following questions.
The following data,provided by the U.S.Bureau of Citizenship and Immigration Services,represent the number of immigrants admitted to the United States,in thousands,from 1990-2001.
$$\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \begin{array} { c } \text { No. of Immigrants } \\\text { (in 000s) }\end{array} \\\hline 1990 & 1536 \\\hline 1991 & 1827 \\\hline 1992 & 974 \\\hline 1993 & 904 \\\hline 1994 & 804 \\\hline 1995 & 720 \\\hline 1996 & 916 \\\hline 1997 & 798 \\\hline 1998 & 654 \\\hline 1999 & 647 \\\hline 2000 & 850 \\\hline 2001 & 1064 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Refer to the table above.
a.Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3 to forecast the number of immigrants in 2002.
b.Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.6 to forecast number of immigrants in 2002.
c.Which of the two methods provides a more accurate forecast based on the MAD criterion?

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