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You are the treasurer of Arizona Corp. and must decide how to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 350,000 Australian dollars (A$) 180 days from now. Put options are available for a premium of $.02 per unit and an exercise price of $.50 per Australian dollar. The forecasted spot rate of the Australian dollar in 180 days is:
The 90-day forward rate of the Australian dollar is $.50.
What is the probability that the put option will be exercised (assuming Arizona purchased it) ?
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