Democratic Transition Game Consider the Case That You Are a Soft-Liner in an Soft-Liner

question 41

Multiple Choice

Democratic Transition Game
Consider the case that you are a soft-liner in an authoritarian regime who would like to introduce a policy of liberalization. Your goal is to co-opt the opposition into a broadened dictatorship, not to transition to democracy. You are a dictator, not a democrat!
1. If you open and civil society enters, then you achieve your objective of a Broadened Dictatorship.
2. If you open and civil society organizes, then you need to decide whether to democratize and become a full democracy or to repress.
3. A successful repression will lead to a narrow dictatorship, whereas an unsuccessful repression will lead to insurgency.
4. Repression is successful only if civil society is weak.
Figure 1

Figure 2

-What is the outcome of the game shown in Figure 1?

• A) status quo
• B) broadened dictatorship
• C) narrow dictatorship
• D) full democracy

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